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Rolla Peace News

January 1, 2019
Dear Friends:

Note from webperson: If you are having trouble reading this, it is posted at

http://tomsager.org/Peaceletters/peaceletter010119.html

          In this newsletter is:

1. NOON VIGIL FOR PEACE: THURSDAY, January 3, 2019
2. THE MISFIT MATHEMATICIAN (Tom's column, http://tomsager.org)
          a) Direct Rail and Road Connection Between North and South Korea
          b) Nicaragua: The U.S. Sanctions Yet Another Country
          c) 60 Months Of Devastating Heat
          d) An Important Carbon Sink

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1. NOON VIGIL FOR PEACE: THURSDAY, JANUARY 3, 2019

We vigil for peace in front of the Rolla Post Office, THIS THURSDAY, JANUARY 3, FROM NOON TO 1:00 PM (and most subsequent Thursdays until peace is established). Please try to join us. The temperature is predicted to be in the 40s. If you do not feel comfortable standing with us in front of the Post Office, please consider driving by and showing your support for our message by honking your horn and flashing a peace sign.

2. THE MISFIT MATHEMATICIAN (Tom's column, http://tomsager.org)
          a) Direct Rail and Road Connection Between North and South Korea
          b) Nicaragua: The U.S. Sanctions Yet Another Country
          c) 60 Months Of Devastating Heat
          d) An Important Carbon Sink

DIRECT RAIL AND ROAD CONNECTION BETWEEN NORTH AND SOUTH KOREA

Koreans celebrated the ceremonial opening of rail and road connections between the North and South, yet another small step toward reunification. (Actual physical opening is yet to come.) I suspect that unless the world becomes much more just and peaceful quickly, we will be seeing a united, nuclear armed Korea within the next decade.

Think about it. Whom are the Koreans to trust, if not each other? In recent history, they have been bullied and abused by just about every major power on the globe. During the Korean War, the US bombed “everything that moved in North Korea, every brick standing on top of another” and killed perhaps 20% of the population.

The ceremony was attended by some foreign dignitaries, but apparently none from the United States.

NICARAGUA: THE U.S. SANCTIONS YET ANOTHER COUNTRY

While many of us were preparing for Christmas festivities, Donald Trump signed the NICA act into law. The NICA act levies brutal sanctions against this poor Central American country of about six million people. The sanctions seem to be paybacks for the Nicaraguans putting down a coup that showed all the earmarks of the CIA behind it.

Seems like the United States is sanctioning an awful lot of countries lately: Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Venezuela, Russia.... Someone ought to tell Mr. Trump that the United States is no longer the world's only economic superpower. Quite likely other countries will thumb their noses at our sanctions, as they are doing in Iran.

Missing from most discussions of the NICA act is the economic rivalry between the United States and China, which has spread to our good neighbors to the South. I think China would love to build a canal to rival the Panama canal, spanning Nicaragua from Atlantic to Pacific; and I think the United States would do almost anything to prevent them.

Up to the start of the unrest which began in April, Nicaragua had been relatively stable and economically successful by Central American standards. While hordes of people have fled North from Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador, emigration from Nicaragua had been but a trickle.

Although the coup failed to bring down the Nicaraguan government, it succeeded in another way: It gave the United States an excuse to sanction Nicaragua and silenced many (excepting yours truly) who might be otherwise disposed to oppose the NICA act and economic sanctions.

Nicaraguans are familiar with these tactics. They are unlikely to forget that after they overthrew the brutal 43-year-old US-supported Somoza dictatorship in 1979, the US levied a total embargo on Nicaragua and armed and trained terrorist armies called “Contras” to fight against the Nicaraguan people.

The NICA act passed Congress unanimously without a single dissenting vote. This makes me think a whole lot less of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren that they would fail to oppose such bullying; and makes me think a lot less of US progressives in general that there has been so little public opposition to the NICA act.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez takes her seat in the House in a few days. Maybe she will be able to educate Congress and the progressive movement.

Here is a short history of the coup that failed:
Anti-government protests in Nicaragua broke out in early April, 2018 over a fire in the Indio Maíz Reservation that burned 13,500 acres in nine days. Protesters faulted the government of Nicaragua for failure to extinguish the fire promptly. However, it is unclear that there is anything that could have been done to extinguish it sooner.

At the time of the fire, the Indio Maíz was in an advanced stage of drought and littered with dead trees, downed by Hurricane Otto, which scored a direct hit on the Indio Maíz as a category 3 hurricane. The Indio Maíz is a rough roadless jungle and Nicaragua lacked equipment to fight the fire from the air. Help from Mexico in the form of fire-fighting helicopters appears to have been crucial.

Comparisons with recent fires in the United States are helpful here. The Camp Fire burned over 150,000 acres in California and killed over 80 people. Even with advanced fire-fighting equipment, it took 18 days to completely contain it. No one faults the California forest service for the Camp Fire (except Donald Trump who claimed they should have been “raking” the forest). There appears to be a double standard here.

Indeed, the two fires can both be traced to the same root cause — a hotter, drier climate for which the United States bears tremendous responsibility while Nicaragua bears little.

The government of Nicaragua was faulted for unpopular “reforms” to Social Security. However, these cuts were all rescinded due to popular opposition. In the face of austerity imposed by wealthy international bankers, Nicaragua is far from the only country to attempt to cut Social Security and pensions. And here in the United States, the government thinks nothing of forcing federal workers to do dangerous jobs for no pay while Congress and the president bicker over a wall that never should even have been considered in the first place. Again, there appears to be a double standard here.

The government of Nicaragua is faulted for paramilitary and police violence. However, it is unclear who was responsible for much of the violence. This is the hallmark of a CIA instigated coup, violence and chaos. Police uniforms are cheap. False flag operations abound. And no one can be sure who is behind anonymous paramilitary thugs.

To anyone who has read All the Shah's Men, Stephen Kinzer's seminal book on the 1953 CIA coup which overthrew the democratically elected government of Iran, this all sounds eerily familiar. Kinzer documented how the CIA brought down Iran's government and spread chaos throughout the country by hiring thugs and criminals and paying journalists to write articles blaming the government. Over the years the CIA has refined its techniques.

The Nicaraguan government is faulted for attacks on the opposition press; yet there is nary a word about Julian Assange, who has been forced to live in exile in the Ecuadoran embassy in London for years to avoid arrest and extradition to the United States. Julian Assange, the editor and founder of Wikileaks, published a famous video of US troops shooting down unarmed Iraqi civilians. He is probably the most important journalist of the 21st Century to date. Again, there appears to be a double standard.
In short, it appears that the United States had been looking for an excuse to bring down the Nicaraguan government all along. The fire in the Indio Maíz and the attempt to cut Social Security were simply the excuses they had been waiting for. It is unclear what happens next. Nicaragua is a poor Central American country with a large predatory neighbor to the North. However, the Nicaraguans are resourceful people and have accomplished amazing things in the past.

60 MONTHS OF DEVASTATING HEAT

Now that it's January, we should be hearing soon about how the last five years have been the five hottest on record.

I've been reporting that the last five 12-month periods have been the five warmest on record since August when we crossed that threshold. And I suspect that before the end of 2019, I'll be reporting that the last six 12-month periods have been the six warmest on record, should I live that long.

After all, Nature is not bound in the least by dates on human calendars.

My data comes from NOAA, whose climate section is down for the count due to government shutdown. I've been favorably impressed by NOAA's climate reporting, which may be part of the reason for the shutdown. Sadly, folks at NOAA's climate-monitoring departments are furloughed without pay, while the likes of Donald Trump and the US Congress continue to collect their exorbitant unearned pay checks.

In case you are one of those climate change skeptics, 2018 has been a terrible year for catastrophic weather events which cost the world an estimated $85 Billion, Here's a list of the top ten, four of which, hurricanes Florence and Michael, and the Camp and Woolsey wildfires in California, happened right here in the USA and top the list.

However, 2018 was a piker compared to 2017 which logged over $300 Billion in damages in the United States alone. Topping the list last year was Hurricane Harvey which alone caused around $125 Billion in damages.

AN IMPORTANT CARBON SINK

Here's a short brief from Science News on carbon sequestration that caught my attention.

Tropical volcanic mountains form an important carbon sink and may be the crucial carbon sink that controls the Earth's climate. Volcanic rock, rich in calcium and magnesium, in the presence of heat and rain combines with atmospheric CO2 to form limestone, sequestering prodigious amounts of carbon.

Author Francis MacDonald opines that a hothouse Earth may be the default. Cooler periods such as the one in which modern man evolved and developed a social organization that we like to call “civilization” appear to be anomalous. If this is indeed the case, one might fairly say that humanity has destroyed the climatic conditions that gave rise to its very existence and that these conditions are unlikely to be repeated in the near future.

This is an example of how events far underground affect the Earth's atmosphere. It also works the other way around: Above-ground events affect what happens deep underground. See Bill McGuire's Waking the Giant: How a changing climate triggers earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanoes for an excellent discussion of this topic. (And if you are looking for a project for a high school science fair, here's a short demonstration of how global warming can cause earthquakes.)

So I am wondering: Might the recent volcanic activity on the Indonesian Archipelago which killed over 400 last week also work to reduce global warming? Or perhaps it will increase global warming since it caused the collapse of the Anak Krakatau volcano, which is now less than 1/3 its previous volume. And might the recent eruption and tsunami have been triggered by a changing climate in the first place? Any geo-scientists out there care to comment?

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Wage peace,

Helen
helenm (at) fidnet.com

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